Join us for a lecture from Ning Lin, Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Princeton University.
FREE
ECJ 3.116
Join us for a seminar presented by Ning Lin, Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Princeton University.
Abstract
Tropical Cyclone Hazards and Risk Analysis
Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause much damage and loss of life worldwide. The impacts of TCs may worsen in the coming decades due to rapid coastal development coupled with sea-level rise and possibly increasing TC activity. Here, we discuss TC hazard projection and risk management in a holistic modeling framework. First, we introduce probabilistic TC models that can be used to generate large numbers of synthetic storms with physically correlated characteristics under projected climate conditions. Second, we discuss TC wind, rainfall and surge hazard modeling, and the coupling with the TC models to estimate individual and compound hazard probabilities. Then, we discuss infrastructure vulnerability modeling and the coupling with the TC hazard projection to estimate future TC risk and develop risk management strategies. We focus on three examples: economic loss projection, TC-blackout-heatwave compound risk and adaptive coastal protection.
About the Speaker
Ning Lin is a Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Princeton University, with affiliate appointments in the Princeton School for Public and International Affairs, the Andlinger Center for Energy and the Environment, the High Meadows Environmental Institute and the Department of Geosciences. Her research spans natural hazards and risk analysis, wind and coastal engineering and climate change impact and adaptation, with a primary focus on hurricane risk analysis. Lin integrates science, engineering and policy to study hurricane-related weather extremes—including strong winds, heavy rainfall, coastal and compound flooding and heatwaves—investigating how these hazards are evolving with climate change and how their societal impacts can be mitigated. Her work has been published in leading journals such as Science, Nature Climate Change and Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Lin has received prestigious honors from both scientific and engineering communities, including the NSF CAREER Award; the Natural Hazards and Global Environmental Change Early Career Awards from the American Geophysical Union; the Huber Research Prize from the American Society of Civil Engineers and the Walter Orr Roberts Lectureship from the American Meteorological Society. She has served as lead or co-principal investigator on several major NSF-funded initiatives, including Hazards SEES, PREEVENTS and CoPe. Lin is the founding Editor-in-Chief of npj Natural Hazards, part of the Nature Portfolio.